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20110208

І про погоду

Оптимістично про погоду





А який сервіс точніший - gismeteo.ua чи meteoprog.ua? А то моя непокоїться, на через два тижні обіцяють морози небачені...


— обидва лажають


— Довготермінові прогнози (тобто на період понад 3 доби) не мають визнаного наукового підгрунтя.


Прогноз погоди на 3-ю добу (на період 48-72 годин) має вірогідність не більшу за 40%.


Все решта належить до прогнозування за системою "палець-підлога-стеля".


Одне можно точно: сказати показники температур у межах до 
-15 високоймовірні до другої декади березня.


— Глобальні коливання температури вони передбачають десь за 7 днів порівняно точно. Тобто про поточне потепління вони показували ще в 20-их числах січня. І до того 7-денні прогнози (я meteoprog'ом зазвичай користуюсь) співпадали з реальністю (не до градуса, звісно, але тенденції). А от зараз meteoprog лякає морозом ледь не -23 вночі (що без снігу буде чималим ударом для рослин), а gismeteo каже про -15 вночі. От я і думаю - перейматись мені чи не дуже.


— одним сказав одне, іншим протилежне, третім - те що вони хотіли почути, четвертим незрозуміле, гроші взяв з усіх.


— найточніше wunderground.com


— я ще не бачив точного ".ua"


— користуюсь wunderground.com і wetteronline.de
______________________________________
Джерело: Ask Me 
все, про що ви хотіли запитати 
він же — chomusyk 

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